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The promise of generative AI took the world by storm in early 2023. We think the AI hype may even underestimate the technology’s potential, but picking AI-linked winners in the stock market may prove elusive. (Q3 2023)
Is the widely held belief that earnings growth powers long-term stock returns actually true? We investigate by analyzing the primary driver of equity returns over more than nine decades. (Q2 2023)
How predictive is your starting valuation for future stock returns? The answer might surprise you. (Q1 2023)
At the tail end of 2022—a very turbulent year in markets—the 1623 Capital team assessed what they think could be in store by 2027. (Q4 2022)
The U.S. stock market has, on average, gained 10% per year over a very long time frame—but here’s why you maybe shouldn’t focus on that headline number. (Q3 2022)
The Nasdaq lost a third of its value in 2022, but we examine which characteristics—sector, market cap, and valuation—foretold the stocks with the largest declines. (Q2 2022)
For long-term investors, being consistently good generally beats being occasionally great. (Q1 2022)